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Latest update - 26 March. This page will be updated with additional data as and when further surveys are conducted.
Is the worst yet to come? (25 March)
With oil prices likely to remain elevated even with a swift end to the fighting, the knock-on economic effects of the conflict are likely to be felt for months to come.
Indeed, fully 63% of Britons think the worst impacts of the US-Iran conflict on the UK have yet to arrive. Only 4% believe we are already over the hump, while 13% think things are currently as bad as they're going to get.
Reform UK voters are notably less pessimistic - only 49% think thinks are still going to get worse, while 26% think they are peaking or have already peaked (compared to 10-17% among other voters).
Britons think conflict is unlikely to end soon (24 March)
With strikes continuing and conflicting accounts of the desire for peace talks between the US, Israel and Iran, two thirds of Britons (67%) think the fighting is unlikely to come to an end within the next month.
Only 18% are optimistic about an end to the military action.
Sending the Royal Navy to the strait of Hormuz (18-19 March and 23 March)
With Donald Trump demanding the UK and other allies send naval vessels to protect shipping and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the British public are divided on the prospects.
Our Daily Agenda poll found 42% supporting such action, and 36% opposed - however a prior survey for The Times found these figures reversed, at 36% support and 43% opposition. Either way, it is clear the public are relatively split on the move.
Reform UK voters and Tories are firmly in favour of sending the Navy (63% in both cases), falling to only 33-36% of Labour and Lib Dem voters, and 24% of Greens.
US use of UK airbases (2 March and 11-12 March)
Having previously denied the US permission to use RAF bases for strikes against Iran, Keir Starmer reversed this position, so long as the targets were restricted to missile sites – but this was not enough to avoid stinging criticism from Donald Trump (more on which lower down).
The move flies in the face of UK public opinion – our survey in late February had found 58% opposed to allowing the US to launch strikes from RAF bases, and subsequent poll on 2 March, and again on 11-12 March, and found that figure still stood at 49-50% when the ‘missile sites only’ caveat was included.
Again, Reform and Conservative voters are more in favour, while Labour, Lib Dem and Green voters are generally opposed.
What impacts do Britons think the US-Iran conflict will have? (10-11 March)
The public generally expect negative impacts in the longer term across all categories we asked about. The only exception is preventing Iran developing nuclear weapons, although even here only 26% expect a positive impact.
Clarity on the causes of the conflict (10-11 March)
To the British public, it is not clear why the US has attacked Iran. Just 27% of Britons think America's reasons for attacking Iran are clear, including only 8% who consider them "very clear".
Instead, 61% think the reasons are unclear, including 34% who consider them "very unclear".
Support for the conflict (2 March and 9 March)
Initial data from Monday 2 March, shortly after the onset of hostilities, found Britons opposed to the attacks by 49% to 28%.
Attitudes differ significantly by party, with the majority of Reform UK voters (58%) and a plurality of Tories (49%) backing the strikes, but the majority of Labour and Lib Dem voters (63-64%) and Greens (70%) opposed.
Asked the same data a week later, the public had become 10 points more likely to oppose the conflict (59%), while support remained about steady at 25%. Opposition increased among Green, Lib Dem, Labour and Tory voters, but remained largely the same among Reform UK voters.
See full data here (2 March) and here (9 March)
Across the pond, the first survey by our colleagues at YouGov US found the American public opposed to the conflict by 48% to 37%.
Expected impact of the US-Iran conflict on personal finances (9 March)
Rachel Reeves has warned that the conflict is “likely to put upward pressure on inflation” in coming months, with oil prices having soared to above $100 a barrel.
Our survey conducted on 9 March finds that Britons are braced for the consequences of the conflict to find their way into their wallets, with 74% expecting a negative impact on their household finances, including 35% who anticipate a 'very negative' impact.
Only 13% think it won't make much difference to them, and only 3% expect their finances to benefit in some way.
Most Britons sympathise with UK citizens living in UAE (5-6 March)
While there has been a great deal of social media schadenfreude at Britons living in the UAE now caught up in the Iran conflict - who they consider to be 'tax exiles' - most Britons (53%) say they have a great deal/fair amount of sympathy for them, although 39% say they have little to none.
While you might expect results to differ by party, there is little difference between 2024 voters.
Britons tend to oppose requiring UK citizens overseas to pay income tax (5-6 March)
Many of those critical of UK citizens living in Dubai and elsewhere in the UAE expressed frustration that having apparently moved to avoid paying UK tax rates, they are now benefiting from taxpayer funded evacuation flights and military protection.
This led to Lib Dem leader Ed Davey proposing in the Commons that UK citizens abroad should have to pay UK income tax.
In principle, Britons tend to oppose this idea, with 44% saying those living abroad shouldn't have to pay any UK income tax, while only 34% think they should have to send some amount back to the Exchequer.
Reform voters especially are opposed (56%), as to a lesser extent are Tories (46%), while Labour, Lib Dem and Green voters are near evenly split.
How has Keir Starmer handled the relationship with Donald Trump? (4-5 March)
Infuriated by the UK’s initial refusal to allow the US to use RAF bases for Iran strikes, Donald Trump launched a series of personal attacks on Starmer, mocking him as “no Winston Churchill”.
Keir Starmer has previously been praised for his seemingly unlikely ability to hold good relations with Donald Trump. Indeed, despite his otherwise unfavourable ratings, a YouGov survey in May 2025 found Britons split 38-38% on his handling of the UK’s relationship with Donald Trump.
No longer, it seems, with most Britons (52%) now believing the is managing relations with Trump badly. Only 32% disagree.
Labour and Lib Dem voters tend to think Starmer is still doing a good job at managing the relationship with Trump (48-53%) while Greens tend to think he is doing a bad job (47%), rising to 70% and 86% respectively for Tory and Reform voters.
How has Keir Starmer handled the UK’s response to the conflict? (4-5 March)
The British public tend to think Keir Starmer has managed the UK’s response to the US-Iran conflict badly, with 47% saying so compared to 34% who think he has managed it well.
Labour and Lib Dem voters (53-55%) generally think Starmer had managed the crisis well, while Green voters split 43% to 38%. By contrast, the majority of Reform UK (81%) and Tory voters (65%) feel Starmer has done a poor job.
What do Britons think the UK’s military stance should be? (4-5 March)
The most common view among the British public is that the UK’s stance should be “purely defensive, tasked with shooting down drones and defending civilian areas and UK military facilities”. Almost half (46%) gave this answer.
A further quarter (26%) said our role should be “retaliatory only, attacking military targets that have launched attacks against civilian areas and/or British military targets, but otherwise not getting involved”.
While only 8% seem to want the UK to become a party to the conflict, saying we should “be actively joining the US and Israel in launching attacks on a wide range of targets in Iran”.
Most Labour, Lib Dem and Green voters (59-61%) want the UK to take the ‘purely defensive' posture, while Tory voters are split between this and the ‘retaliatory’ option by 37-37%.
Among Reform UK voters, the retaliatory option is the most commonly preferred, at 35% - 28% prefer the purely defensive option, while 24% want to see the UK get actively involved in striking Iran.
Will the attacks result in regime change in Iran? (3 March)
Donald Trump urged Iranians to “take back your government” amidst the strikes, but do the public think regime change is a likely outcome of the attacks?
Britons are relatively split on the question: 37% think regime change is likely, while 32% see it as unlikely – and 31% aren’t sure.
Reform voters are most likely to think the attacks will result in a new government coming about in Iran (52%), while Lib Dems are the least likely (31%).
The UK’s diplomatic response to the US attacks (2 March)
There have been calls for the government to praise or condemn the strikes, but initially Keir Starmer opted to avoid doing either – although some reports consider the PM to have subsequently criticised the attacks.
Fence-sitting is the favoured approach by the British public, 45% of whom said on Monday 2 March that the government should neither praise nor condemn the US for the Iran attacks. This was the most preferred option among Tories (60%) and to a lesser extent Labour and Lib Dem voters (44-47%).
One in five Britons (21%) wanted the UK to condemn the US for its actions (particularly the Greens, at 44%), while 12% wanted to praise America (Reform UK voters were most in favour, at 39% - joint with the number who think we should do neither).
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Photo: Getty