From what you know about the upcoming presidential election, when do you think we will know which candidate won?

From what you know about the upcoming presidential election, when do you think we will know which candidate won? Published on November 4, 2024 → Survey conducted on November 4, 2024 on 6199 U.S. adults

All adults

Region

Gender

Politics

Age

Race

The night of the election

18%

The day after the election

25%

A few days after the election

28%

A week after the election

A couple of weeks after the election

A month after the election or later

Not sure

14%

The night of the election

18%

The day after the election

25%

A few days after the election

28%

A week after the election

A couple of weeks after the election

A month after the election or later

Not sure

14%

The midterms, Trump, and more: September 18 - 21, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll

The Republicans in Congress favorability

The Democrats in Congress favorability

Donald Trump favorability

New polls in seven states show tight races for Senate and governor in each, including leads for Talarico, Brown, and Acton

Democrats' 8-point lead with registered voters, inflation importance hits new high, and more: October 2–5, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll

Inflation hits a new high as Americans’ top issue

Democrats lead by double digits in each of the two new ways we define likely voters

Likely voters and the 'blue wave'