If a weather forecast says there is a 70% chance of rain in your area, which of these do you think comes closest to what the forecast means?

If a weather forecast says there is a 70% chance of rain in your area, which of these do you think comes closest to what the forecast means? Published on August 21, 2026 → Survey conducted on August 21, 2026 on 7793 U.S. adults

All adults

Region

Gender

Politics

Age

Race

It is expected to rain in 70% of your area and not rain in 30% of it

26%

It is expected to rain for 70% of the day and not rain for 30% of the day

11%

Similar conditions would result in rain 70% of the time and would not result in rain 30% of the time

48%

Not sure

14%

It is expected to rain in 70% of your area and not rain in 30% of it

26%

It is expected to rain for 70% of the day and not rain for 30% of the day

11%

Similar conditions would result in rain 70% of the time and would not result in rain 30% of the time

48%

Not sure

14%

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