Select a country

Panel Members

Take surveys and earn points as a member of the YouGov panel.

Log in

Business

Access YouGov products and services as a business.

Log in

Panel Members

Take surveys and earn points as a member of the YouGov panel.

Register

Business

Access YouGov products and services as a business.

Register
Menu

Likelihood of a major world conflict in the next 20 years

How likely do you think it is that there will be a major conflict involving most countries in the world in the next 20 years?

About This Tracker

Biannual tracker / 1001 - 1085 US Adults per wave / Methodology / Download crosstabs

Related topics

Explore more opinion data

International survey: how people in seven countries see the US, power, threats and alliances

Big survey

Democrats' midterms lead, war and the military, Iran, and more: August 14 - 17, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Big survey

Republicans are divided on whether to use the military to take over Cuba and the Panama Canal

Big survey

Americans want a fast end to the Iran war but are increasingly likely not to expect one

Big survey

Only one-quarter of Americans say the U.S. won the war in Iran

Big survey

MAGA Republicans still support the Iran war but most other Americans say it was the wrong decision

Big survey

Do you think the U.S. has won its war with Iran?

Updated on 07/13/2026
42%
24%
24%
Daily question / 3840 adults per wave

Likelihood Donald Trump will take the US into a war

Tracker

Frequent social media users are more likely to prefer the algorithm to chronological feeds

Article