Select a country

Panel Members

Take surveys and earn points as a member of the YouGov panel.

Log in

Business

Access YouGov products and services as a business.

Log in

Panel Members

Take surveys and earn points as a member of the YouGov panel.

Register

Business

Access YouGov products and services as a business.

Register
Menu
Just before Election Day in 2016, which candidate did you think would most likely win? Published on November 9, 2024 → Survey conducted on November 9, 2024 on 7874 U.S. adults
38%
37%
18%
7%
By:
38%
37%
18%
7%
Related topics

Published on the same day

Just before Election Day in 2024, which candidate did you think would most likely win?

See results

Just before Election Day in 2020, which candidate did you think would most likely win?

See results

Explore more opinion data

How do Americans describe Donald Trump?

Article

Republican support for Trump has fallen as Democrats hold a big lead among enthusiastic midterms voters

Big survey

Democrats have a double-digit lead among those who say they'll definitely vote in November

Big survey

A federal appeals court has ruled that President Trump cannot continue building the White House ballroom without approval from Congress. Do you approve or disapprove of this ruling?

Updated on 08/10/2026
46%
19%
14%
Daily question / 24407 adults per wave

Donald Trump has promised to send every adult American citizen a payment of $5,000 if Republicans keep control of Congress in the November elections. Do you support or oppose sending this payment?

Updated on 09/11/2026
38%
22%
20%
Daily question / 6051 adults per wave

Do you think Americans will receive a $5,000 payment if Republicans keep control of Congress in the November elections?

Updated on 09/11/2026
43%
21%
16%
Daily question / 6051 adults per wave

Donald Trump honesty

Tracker

Donald Trump Likeability

Tracker

Presidential voting intention 2020

Tracker