Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention figures
The latest YouGov voting intention poll for The Times and Sky News shows a four point lead for Labour, who are on 27% of the vote, up three points since last week, though equivalent to their share the previous week, which was the highest recorded for the party since January 2025.
Trailing Labour are the Conservatives, on an unchanged 23% of the vote, and Reform UK, whose 22% share is within the margin of error of the 21% they recorded in last week’s poll.
- Labour: 27% (+3 from 11-12 Oct)
- Conservative: 23% (=)
- Reform UK: 22% (+1)
- Lib Dem: 11% (-1)
- Green: 10% (-1)
- Restore Britain: 3% (+1)
- SNP: 2% (-1)
- Plaid Cymru: 1% (=)
- Others: 1% (=)
Although the Lib Dems and Greens are both within the margin of error of our previous poll, the Lib Dems’ 11% share is the joint-lowest recorded for the party this parliament, while the Greens’ 10% is the lowest recorded for the party since September 2025, just after Zack Polanski became leader, and is down a full eleven points from their peak in March.
Overall, our latest figures reiterate the trend seen in recent months of a small recovery for both the Conservatives and Labour, who now hold a combined 50% of vote for the first time since we restarted our voting intention tracker in January 2025, having fallen as low as 32% in March.
See the full results here
Methodology
- Sample size: An online survey of 2,520 adults aged 18+ living in Great Britain
- Fieldwork: 18 to 19 October 2026
- Commissioned by: The Times and Sky News
Read about our voting intention methodology here
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Photo: Getty
