Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention figures
The latest YouGov voting intention poll for The Times and Sky News shows a close race between the largest parties, with Labour, the Conservatives and Reform UK all within the margin of error of each other.
Our latest figures show Labour on 24% of the vote, down three points on last week’s poll, while the Conservatives are up three points to 23%, their highest level since we restarted our voting intention tracker in January 2025. Reform UK take a 21% share in this week’s poll, their joint-lowest on our tracker this parliament.
- Labour: 24% (-3 from 4-5 Oct)
- Conservatives: 23% (+3)
- Reform UK: 21% (-1)
- Lib Dems: 12% (+1)
- Greens: 11% (=)
- SNP: 3% (=)
- Restore Britain: 2% (-1)
- Plaid Cymru: 1% (=)
- Others: 1% (-1)
The Lib Dems are on 12% of the vote and the Greens are on 11%, both within the margin of error of our previous poll.
Although Labour’s figure is down on last week, it is still above any figure recorded for the party in our tracker during the final twelve months of Keir Starmer’s leadership. Additionally, for both Labour and the Conservatives, this marks a substantial recovery since early May, when the combined vote share of the two historic parties stood at just 33%, relative to 47% in our latest figures.
Methodology
- Sample size: An online survey of 2,393 adults aged 18+ living in Great Britain
- Fieldwork: 11 to 12 October 2026
- Commissioned by: The Times and Sky News
Read about our voting intention methodology here
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Photo: Getty
